Another senior staffer has left the building
The bottom line is that for senior campaign workers, this is a business. Going down with the ship is just a bad career move.
The spin is that McCain can pull a Kerry, and resurrect his chances with a new team. Now for the missing context--Kerry was facing a bunch of underfunded lightweights with the notable exception of Crazy Howard. Republicans were gleeful at the prospect of a Dean candidacy, but when it comes to power, the Democrats can be cold-eyed realists--no way was Howard Dean going to be the party's standard bearer and John Edwards suit was just as empty as it is now. Ted Kennedy and the other power elite in the party saw that you couldn't make Howard Dean electable, but you could make John Kerry the nominee with some professional help and a little elbow grease.
The fact is, McCain already had some of the best pros in the business--many part of Bush's team. Its not like there is any room to upgrade. Additionally, he is facing at least three well-funded, highly-credible rivals in Giuliani, Romney and Thompson. Finally, McCain is where he is because the base has no tolerance for his stance on immigration and we're still smarting from the ill-conceived mess of McCain-Feingold.
There is simply no upside for McCain in continuing and as the defections continue, it just gets more and more embarrassing. I have considerable disagreements with John McCain, but I respect him and its just wrong to see him go out a laughingstock. Perhaps its too late already, but he should hold a press conference and declare the end of his candidacy.
He's still an 800 lb. gorilla in the Senate and could be for another two or three presidential terms. In the end he'll have made his mark on history regardless of what happens next year.
Recommendations by Pundit's Blog. All good advice--about four months ago.
Scott Adams operates under the premise that luck evens out--a terrible early life means you'll have better luck later on (i.e. Reagan, Clinton). All the breaks early on, mean bad things later on.
Romney scares the hell out of me. That guy was born wealthy, handsome, and brilliant. And he keeps getting smarter, more successful, and better looking. Everything he touches turns to gold. Luckwise, he’s running on fumes. If he gets elected, I expect the moon to fall out of orbit and land in Ohio.
McCain's had the terrible luck of getting shot down and becoming a prisoner of war, but then the good luck of surviving. Adams worries that his good luck quotient has topped out--it certainly looks that way.
Political Punch--Jake Tapper phones it in.
The American Pundit mocks NBC's political analysis. He's right. If you want to know what is going on, read conservative blogs. The MSM are either clueless or carrying water.
John Hawkins has what I think is some really good insight into McCain's media problems.
...it's particularly difficult for McCain to recover because he is widely despised by conservative media and most right-wing activists, while many of his supporters tend to be, in my opinion, less conservative and more casual about their politics than supporters of the other candidates. That's problematic for McCain because it makes him much more reliant on praise from the mainstream press than the other candidates and they're down on him for supporting the war and for pandering to Republicans much more than usual while trying to win their votes.
So, this is the trap McCain is in: he can't gain much ground with conservatives because the people whose opinions matter most to them don't like him. However, the MSM can't deliver a victory for him because they're down on him and so, he's not ever going to be able to get to the point where conservatives will start trying to jump on the bandwagon because he looks likely to win.
Its pretty much a reflection of what I said the other day..."Maverick is just another way of saying out-of-touch-with-the-base." Ironically, McCain and Hillary Clinton have a great deal in common--she's trying to win the nomination by finessing the base as well. This has worked in the past because the Democrat base was in flux. You could roll the base with enough money to buy feet on the ground. The far left is catching up to the conservative base in terms of creating a cohesive, monied and politically independent force. They run the Democrat party now, not the other way around. Hillary has the advantage over McCain in that she can tap into Bill's political infrastructure to raise money, but otherwise she is in much the same boat--good national polls, real problems in the early primary states and real competition from the darlings of the left. Possible the money makes the difference, but McCain's situation should be a "for the grace of God, there go I" moment for the Hillary campaign.