There was notable coordinated resistance to the idea that the Clinton argument about Obama's electability had validity after Pennsylvania. That was expected--nobody should roll over that easily, but Indiana is well on the way to providing "exhibit B" for that argument.
A statewide poll indicates a dramatic shift of support from Sen. Barack Obama to Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton ahead of next week's Indiana Democratic presidential primary -- a shift that could be explained by a controversy over Obama's ex-pastor, the poll's conductor says.The survey, conducted by Indianapolis-based TeleResearch Corp. and released exclusively to 6News, showed Clinton with a 10-point lead over Obama in Indiana -- 48 percent to 38 percent -- with 14 percent of respondents undecided. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percent.
At this point, its hard to even conceive what Obama can do to avoid the Hoosier train bearing down on his campaign--stalled on the tracks as it were. Its just too much to do in too little time.
Polls are narrowing in North Carolina as well, and even if he wins there, the exit polls are the critical factor--Obama not only has to win, but he has to attract the Bubba vote.
I see no reason to modify my initial view of the post-Pennsylvania outlook--super delegates and party leaders are going to have to seriously consider whether they want to win what's supposed to be a gimme, or pass on the presidency in some vain hope of keeping the Democrat coalition intact. Frankly my completely unsolicited advice would be to go for a win--a sitting president can do far more for a fractured party than can a bunch of sulking losers.
My gut tells me that they're reliable self-immolators.
Posted by Mick Stockinger on May 2, 2008 12:24 AM
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