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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on October 19, 2006 6:32 AM.

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Deja Vu

With all the concern over rigged electronic voting machines we've been seeing for a couple of years now from the left, there never seems to be any concern over the demostrately 'rigged' quality of this country's political polls. Dan Riehl does some legwork to remind us of the accuracy of the polls in 2002 a mere seven days before the election and then extracts this gem from the memory hole.


And going back to Oct. 22, these pearls of wisdom from DailyKos via Charlie Cook:

Cook notes that Dems have a good shot at taking GOP seats in Arkansas, New Hampshire and Colorado, while the race in North Carolina has become unexpectedly competitive...Consider, perhaps the surest takeover bet is Arkansas, a GOP seat. And if the GOP loses New Hampshire, which I believe is likely, then forget it. There's no way the GOP can take the Senate.

Too bad Dems lost all of the above by 5 - 10 points.

MSNBC says Big Dem Wins Likely. Now where have I seen that before?

As I've mentioned earlier this week--polls in a mid-term election are like sticking your finger in the air to see which way the wind is blowing. With a national average of 39% turnout during the last mid-term election, its not how people feel about the election, its how voters feel.

Know-nothing pundits on cable news channels are dismissing Karl Rove's and the President's optimism as stiff-upper-lipism, but the real reason is far more substantive.


If you're ever read a profile of Ken Mehlman, you know he is obsessed with metrics. For him, one of the most important sources of data is a weekly e-mail his political team prepares called the "Weekly Grassroots Report." It meticulously records the work of tens of thousands of volunteers in targeted states, counties and congressional districts across the country. The data summary allows the RNC to determine which states are meeting goals and which states are falling behind.

The RNC declined to share the most recent report, which was issued Monday. But two independent sources who saw last week's report professed to be surprised: not only was their no drop off last week, 12 states broke new voter contact records.

In a month, the party completed more than a million phone calls and door contacts conbined. Bigger states are putting up big numbers -- even Ohio, which lagged behind its targets all summer, has caught up. The RNC is particularly pleased with their progress in New Jersey, where they've rapidly set up a more aggressive version of their 72 Hour Program in light of the state's more competitive Senate race.

I think we've seen that before as well...

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